Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $80.05
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Polymarket Trader
b45trwe
@josemanuelpasc1
0xe2f18672530428f88ef0f32019d3ddfc95235c3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.54
- Realized PnL
- $123.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $30.45
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $39.55
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$26.25
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $12.14
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.96
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.78
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.42
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Iraq 42% 23.81 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.3% 10.26 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 77% 12.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 97.8% 11.25 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 10.04 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 97.4% 10.27 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 216.66 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 95% 214.71 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 79% 15.19 shares
- Cardano ETF in 2025?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 97% 189.51 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No 96.9% 189.7 shares