Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $46.81
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Polymarket Trader
0xe2fC8dec76c829a6895bc849E6E759f67F22b941-1772097656768
0xe2fc8dec76c829a6895bc849e6e759f67f22b941
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $157.86
- Realized PnL
- $563.7
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $937.5
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $64.75
- Potential payout
- $315.85
- Potential profit
- $251.1
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$17.95
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $22.95
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $155.63
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $11.85
- Potential payout
- $168.39
- Potential profit
- $156.53
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.83
- Potential profit
- $70.83
- User PnL
- -$18.7
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.57
- Potential profit
- $59.57
- User PnL
- -$8.34
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.64
- Potential profit
- $55.64
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Yes position
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.8
- Potential profit
- $40.8
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.15
- Potential profit
- $32.15
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.67
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156.8
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.13
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.43
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$19.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 9.1% 55.2 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 8% 113.19 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.2% 178.57 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 33% 151.52 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 97.6% 175 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 8% 175 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 9% 161.85 shares
- Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes 26.4% 70.83 shares
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 31.1% 32.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes 11% 181.82 shares