Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $210.4
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $52.6
Polymarket Trader
bananabreakfast
0xe33825c663c81ad37d7e2f57ebff26799a0064ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.89K
- Realized PnL
- $5.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $825
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $651
- Potential profit
- $648.07
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $447.84
- Potential profit
- $447.84
- User PnL
- -$55.47
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $148.33
- Potential payout
- $400.88
- Potential profit
- $252.55
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$31.93
No position
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $333.44
- Potential payout
- $387.72
- Potential profit
- $54.28
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $15.51
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 14?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 13?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$47.69
Yes position
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $130.03
- Potential payout
- $247.67
- Potential profit
- $117.64
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $30.96
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Current value
- $200.21
- Potential payout
- $231.86
- Potential profit
- $31.65
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
James Comey charges dropped by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $26.38
- Potential payout
- $211
- Potential profit
- $184.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.61
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.37
- Potential profit
- $157.37
- User PnL
- -$18.78
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 12?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.33
- Potential profit
- $117.33
- User PnL
- -$24.9
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.98
- Potential profit
- $111.98
- User PnL
- -$21.29
Yes position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $48.69
- Potential payout
- $100.4
- Potential profit
- $51.71
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $95.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 21?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.48
- Potential profit
- $96.48
- User PnL
- -$12.21
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 26?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.15
- Potential profit
- $73.15
- User PnL
- -$17.76
No position
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $65.45
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 19?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.24
- Potential profit
- $69.24
- User PnL
- -$12.33
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $62.28
- Potential payout
- $67.33
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $66.39
- Potential profit
- $61.98
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$14.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.38
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.01
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.32
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.91
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.05
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $70
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.21
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.54
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.65
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.26
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.28
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.4
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.2
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 18 and May 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.2
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.69
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 56.9% 5 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 28.2% 66.39 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 47% 66.39 shares
- Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 83.1% 4.99 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 86% 69.93 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes 7% 69.93 shares
- Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 40% 247.67 shares
- Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 82% 387.72 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes 13.4% 377.91 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 77% 377.91 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 53.3% 999.99 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes 74% 400 shares