Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
lion2398
0xe3415d323bf92bc6b82ac357d36caed8b7550053
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.78
- Realized PnL
- $617.49
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $639.09
- Potential profit
- $635.57
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Y
Yes position
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $479.57
- Potential profit
- $477.65
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $433.39
- Potential profit
- $431.87
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $322.42
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $311.77
- Potential profit
- $307.72
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Y
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $228.12
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $180.28
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.33
- Potential profit
- $169.33
- User PnL
- -$26.73
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.01
- Potential profit
- $168.01
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.56
- Potential profit
- $144.56
- User PnL
- -$45
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138
- Potential profit
- $138
- User PnL
- -$11.96
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.27
- Potential profit
- $121.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $116.67
- User PnL
- -$14
JD Gaming position
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.95
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.29
Over position
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.15
Over position
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.87
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $81.18
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.82
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.42
Yes position
Solana above $200 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.77
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.72
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.14
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 50% 104.75 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 42% 140 shares
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?Yes 6% 168.01 shares
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots AND Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots AND United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners59.1% 1.66 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 1.3% 230.77 shares
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists AND United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score7% 416.86 shares
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots AND Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots AND Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists5.9% 329.66 shares