Polymarket Trader

failedbet

0xe350d874195530e434ed618c36262ddcbaf4c0c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $5.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$36.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$51.27

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$419.16

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.93
Potential profit: $541.93
User PnL: -$11.85

No position

Will Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $540
User PnL: -$144.29

No position

Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443
Potential profit: $443
User PnL: -$26.46

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

Will "Defuse" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413
Potential profit: $413
User PnL: -$47.3

No position

Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$160

No position

Will Marco Rubio say "China" or "Xi" during press briefing today?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$113.38

No position

Will Trump say "College" 10+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$65

No position

Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.22
Potential profit: $269.22
User PnL: -$93.51

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during coal announcement?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.79
Potential profit: $237.79
User PnL: -$37.95

No position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Pool" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.16
Potential profit: $187.16
User PnL: -$90.02

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $183
User PnL: -$61.81

No position

Will Trump say "Miner" 3+ times during coal announcement?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$53.1

No position

Will Trump say "Stupid" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $142
User PnL: -$46.86

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.39
Potential profit: $115.39
User PnL: -$39.75

No position

Will Trump say "Plant" during coal announcement?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$10.85

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.84

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.29

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.87

No position

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.64

No position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.29

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.45

Anastasia Potapova position

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.3

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.04

No position

Will Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.37

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.71

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.95

No position

Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.12

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.69

No position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.61

No position

Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.43

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.62

No position

Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

No position

Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.82

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.32

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.77

No position

Will Melania say "Honor" during statement on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 44.6% 500 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 31.5% 11.25 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 38.3% 467 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 38.1% 33.16 shares
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?

No 14% 100 shares
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?

Yes 13.2% 328.95 shares
Will Trump say "Miner" 3+ times during coal announcement?

No 1% 180 shares
Will Trump say "Plant" during coal announcement?

No 10.3% 105 shares
Will Trump say "Coal" 5+ times during coal announcement?

No 7% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during coal announcement?

No 16% 230 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.1% 200 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 36.2% 200 shares