Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $1.68
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Polymarket Trader
0xe35e...abbb
0xe35e9ecb5efc54ab5a789a6aabbc5920ec55abbb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0.31
- Realized PnL
- -$9.73
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 32% 35 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 32% 35 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 32% 35 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 32% 35 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 21% 27 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 22% 27 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 22% 27 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 22% 27 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 22% 27 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 22% 27 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 22% 27 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 22% 27 shares