Polymarket Trader

talmm

0xe35f79cb1da48df6d4f7f0e32b29b5359565f7f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $2.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.93K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $71.69
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$28.31

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $44.64
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $669.64
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $14.64

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $369.88
Potential payout: $556.21
Potential profit: $186.33
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $9.88

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $67
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $333
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $254.66
Potential payout: $346.48
Potential profit: $91.82
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $54.66

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $27.3
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $182.7
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $56.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $143.02
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$47.02

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $123.36
Potential payout: $157.14
Potential profit: $33.79
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $13.36

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $115.5
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.9%
Current value: $94.82
Potential payout: $137.72
Potential profit: $42.9
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$9.4

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $44.49
Potential payout: $78.75
Potential profit: $34.26
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$5.51

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

England leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $27.84
Potential profit: $20.18
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$7.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $653.32

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.93

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.2

No position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.31

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.86

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.38

Yes position

World Series of Poker – American winner?

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.41

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.48

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.41

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.05

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.67

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.96

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.66

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.61

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.21

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.25

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.72

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Spain 47.2% 84.66 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 95% 104.16 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 48% 104.17 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 17.8% 400 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Yes 56% 27.84 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

No 70% 157.14 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.2% 714.29 shares
England leading at halftime?

Yes 65% 46.15 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Yes 15% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 11% 669.29 shares