No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Polymarket Trader
Upularr
0xe368f5a31b953d0e88843b69fb493170c3ecd3f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.31
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Mercedes record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Mercedes record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.5% 34 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 83% 37 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95% 32 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95% 32 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 78% 39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 35 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.4% 34 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 68% 42 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 73 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.3% 2 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 87% 4 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.6% 26 shares