Polymarket Trader

sameday1

0xe36f5735f5bc12c36b361a599e8603d56f7ccd91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $196.07K
Realized PnL: $149.8K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $166.25K
Potential payout: $190.76K
Potential profit: $24.51K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$11.43K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.68K
Potential profit: $58.68K
User PnL: -$25.23K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $14.85K
Potential payout: $15.26K
Potential profit: $404.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $83.92

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$9.2K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.44K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $360.81
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $18.99

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $3.28K
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $138.53
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $49.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $121.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $28.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $68.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $42.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $34.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $226.77
Potential payout: $237.21
Potential profit: $10.44
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.7
Potential profit: $16.7
User PnL: -$10.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.88K

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.22K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.14K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.65K

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.86K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.26

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.47

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$221.7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$588.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.55K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.96K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.22K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 97% 6,279.7 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 43.6% 9,822.75 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 96.8% 7,593.93 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 40% 24,060.55 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 95.7% 22,455.3 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 92.4% 2,687.79 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 96.5% 181.99 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 91.6% 27,869.2 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 93.1% 16,692.27 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 92.8% 6,564 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 92% 5,344.76 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 90.4% 4,323.58 shares