Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $67.85
- Potential payout
- $222.83
- Potential profit
- $154.98
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $39.55
Polymarket Trader
ThrallJV5
0xe37b4dc32e36c0592e479c3786c6851fe31daf31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.26
- Realized PnL
- $7.55
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $15.72
- Potential payout
- $40.37
- Potential profit
- $24.65
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $27.79
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
Jannik Sinner position
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 14?Yes 97.6% 28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?Yes 68% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 70% 7.14 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 40.37 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner 80% 45.61 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 70% 36.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?Yes 79% 21.86 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 12.7% 222.83 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 5.1% 29.97 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 65.7% 29.97 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 62.4% 31.55 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 76% 31.55 shares