No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
swiswarm
0xe37c05ebcef6cdc2aa41a953d188bcbf6c77eb1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $133.89
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $83.58
- Potential payout
- $85.9
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $13.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $37.8
- Potential payout
- $41.07
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?No 97.4% 41.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 8?No 81% 61.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 8?No 82.8% 24.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7?No 79.6% 12.56 shares
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 26.32 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 78.4% 33.89 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 59% 33.9 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 95% 10.53 shares