Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$258.56
Polymarket Trader
hm-a
0xe393b4c4d81ec9f4e32bc27040419da241908364
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.95
- Realized PnL
- $2.25K
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $53.24
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$29.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456
- Potential profit
- $456
- User PnL
- -$64.8
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $53.04
- Potential payout
- $424.35
- Potential profit
- $371.3
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.45
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $20.69
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $39.31
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$14.71
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.34
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Brenton Doyle lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.78
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.72
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$18.04
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$46.05
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.34
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$827.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18% 1 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 12% 6.42 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 59% 60 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 56% 15 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 35% 63 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1.1% 158.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 15 shares