Polymarket Trader

0xE3989347d97b73285982e3102530627E27495b3d-1767602954335

0xe3989347d97b73285982e3102530627e27495b3d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.11
Realized PnL: -$53.14
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.73K
Potential profit: $5.73K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$146

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.05
Potential profit: $450.05
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.68
Potential profit: $375.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.62
Potential profit: $374.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Bank of England increases interest rates after February 2026 meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.69
Potential profit: $255.69
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.31
Potential profit: $239.31
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.81
Potential profit: $142.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.58
Potential profit: $106.58
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Chiello win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.96
Potential profit: $73.96
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Nayt win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.33
Potential profit: $58.33
User PnL: -$10

Dune 3 position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $25.71
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: $1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$7.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Yes 10.5% 1,393.8 shares
Will Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)

No 2.4% 2,129.5 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 797.76 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 2.1% 263.62 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 797.77 shares
Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Nayt win Sanremo 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?

Yes 17.1% 58.33 shares
Will Chiello win Sanremo 2026?

Yes 13.5% 73.96 shares
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?

Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?

Yes 5.3% 374.62 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 37% 263.62 shares