No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20K
- Potential payout
- $22.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$110.47
Polymarket Trader
brother-magpie
0xe399bb71ff1fef9313c7625eb2b8f345f0297dc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.45K
- Realized PnL
- $1.08K
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $6.49K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $507.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $94.51
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $575.87
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$62.05
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $224.99
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $157.52
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $210.42
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $128.27
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $110
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $190
No position
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $529.99
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$179.99
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $322.32
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $914.98
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$688.64
Yes position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $902.89
- Potential profit
- $902.89
- User PnL
- -$77
No position
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $806.91
- Potential payout
- $822.12
- Potential profit
- $15.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $75.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.92
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.4
No position
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.41
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$168.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 89.8% 2,225.96 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 12% 1,601.74 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 15% 353.07 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 21.2% 2,000 shares
- Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes 9.9% 202.89 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 88% 1,000 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 94.3% 116.27 shares
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No 93% 2,000 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 85% 2,000 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 84% 2,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 92% 1,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 83% 2,000 shares