Polymarket Trader

zdw

0xe39c4853a6e14045f192b65efbacecf845d74c0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.54
Realized PnL: $565.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.5
Potential profit: $298.5
User PnL: -$30.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $12.07
Potential payout: $102.74
Potential profit: $90.67
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.85
Potential profit: $101.85
User PnL: -$8.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.5
Potential profit: $60.5
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $54.99
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $49.02
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $23.66
Potential profit: $20.63
Multiplier: 7.81x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $19.98
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $15.19
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.99
Potential profit: $8.99
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.26
Potential profit: $7.26
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39
Potential profit: $4.39
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $2.15
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $36.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 33.3% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 33.3% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

No 76% 9 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Yes 9.6% 10.67 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Yes 7% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 38% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 47% 10 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 102.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

No 45% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

No 35% 6 shares