Polymarket Trader

makemoney2025

@web3devai

0xe3a1094b08b7be604181a97d386677c85fbf3c87

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.1K
Realized PnL: $39.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $8.06K
Potential payout: $8.91K
Potential profit: $846.2
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $966.91

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.04K
Potential payout: $5.76K
Potential profit: $719.99
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$113.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.74K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.58K
User PnL: -$2.4K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$2.18K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$1.88K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$94.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$1.37K

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $819.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $280.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$33.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$932.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $987.2
Potential profit: $987.2
User PnL: -$926.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$854.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$873

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $747.34
Potential payout: $749.96
Potential profit: $2.62
User PnL: $312.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $698.03
Potential profit: $698.03
User PnL: -$659.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690.5
Potential profit: $690.5
User PnL: -$308.18

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$142.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.43
Potential profit: $518.43
User PnL: -$437.28

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$58

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $432.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $57.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $488.27
Potential profit: $488.27
User PnL: -$251.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $427.57
Potential profit: $427.57
User PnL: -$305.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.8
Potential profit: $399.8
User PnL: -$82.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $111,000 on September 4 at 8AM ET?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.67
User PnL: -$157.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.17K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Ethereum all time high before October?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $770.44

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.01

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.89

Yes position

Solana all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $356.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.79

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.27

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.01

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 99.9% 80 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Up 98% 275.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Down 98.3% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Down 99% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Down 98% 179.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Up 98% 621.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 97.6% 990 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 96% 73.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 99% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Down 98% 1,159.06 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 76% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Down 92.1% 500 shares