Polymarket Trader

0xe3ab...96c2

0xe3ab6191e5e28c7a555df0f958f306ac19f696c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $37.48
Realized PnL: $196.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $207.38
Potential profit: $201.47
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $71.4
Potential profit: $67.51
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $25.43
Potential profit: $15.64
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $16.33
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $9.56
Potential profit: $7.89
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $5.96
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $6.3
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.4% 375 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.4% 375 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.5% 300 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.5% 300 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Yes 2.5% 3.28 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Yes 18% 0.44 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.3% 768.02 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.3% 188.8 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.3% 290.84 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.3% 174.04 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.3% 422.75 shares