Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $5.26K
- Potential payout
- $184.69K
- Potential profit
- $179.42K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Polymarket Trader
BabyKangroo
0xe3ae7670827d2100beee9223a9a38dd16bfa440e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.97K
- Realized PnL
- $97.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $53.94K
- Potential profit
- $52.79K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $467.89
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $30.4K
- Potential payout
- $33.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.44K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.81K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$9K
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $256.5
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.74K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $51.54
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.48K
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.96K
- Potential payout
- $5.96K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $48.97
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$25.93
No position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $16.35
- User PnL
- $771.55
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $89.1
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$12.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $757.45
- Potential profit
- $757.45
- User PnL
- -$401.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.34K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72K
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $983.31
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.01
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.82
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.01
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.36
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 93.9% 4,027.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 93.9% 12,082.39 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No 99% 50.51 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 99.9% 8,257.99 shares
- Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 99.9% 965.58 shares
- Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 99.9% 400 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 37% 1,342.09 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 39% 1,551.52 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 99.9% 11,399.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 37.9% 1,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 43.7% 4,876.87 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes 96.9% 1,305.55 shares