Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
37686
0xe3afb9fd570ba5f55f48dd34e762f240c62f29d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.85
- Realized PnL
- $304.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $730.09
- Potential profit
- $729.72
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.5
- Potential profit
- $322.5
- User PnL
- -$19.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $202.52
- Potential profit
- $201.21
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.59
- Potential profit
- $200.59
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.49
- Potential profit
- $99.49
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.51
- Potential profit
- $84.51
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.93
- Potential profit
- $76.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $33.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.38
- Potential profit
- $30.38
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 12PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 0.1% 45.21 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes 5% 54.28 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 0.6% 177.01 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 92% 13.7 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 73% 13.7 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 4.5% 222.22 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 72% 3.57 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 4.2% 20 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes 24% 7.69 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 33% 1.85 shares