stpocin

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $4.01K
Potential payout: $64.63K
Potential profit: $60.63K
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$3.52K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $61.01K
Potential payout: $64.63K
Potential profit: $3.62K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.26K

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $3.73K
Potential payout: $4.82K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $231.74

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $4.82K
Potential profit: $3.78K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$65.2

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$267.64

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $445.99
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$37.54

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $530.57
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 4.29x
User PnL: $156.84

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $523.93
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $534.52
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $39.15

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $16.13
Potential payout: $977.42
Potential profit: $961.29
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Trump meets with Putin by June 30?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $957.38
Potential payout: $977.42
Potential profit: $20.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.53

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $452.48
Potential payout: $801
Potential profit: $348.52
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $6.47

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $404.51
Potential payout: $801
Potential profit: $396.5
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $55.57

No position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $744.83
Potential payout: $773.85
Potential profit: $29.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $17.61

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $766.13
Potential profit: $742.38
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$14.51

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $118.39
Potential payout: $616.59
Potential profit: $498.2
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: $33.65

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $502.46
Potential payout: $616.59
Potential profit: $114.13
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$4.84

No position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $225.14
Potential payout: $243.39
Potential profit: $18.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $11.44
Potential payout: $243.39
Potential profit: $231.95
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$4.78

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $83.29
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $32.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $32.9
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $31.8
Potential profit: $31.67
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: $898.63

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $154.12

Yes position

Trump meets with Putin by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $140.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.17

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $116.59

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.98

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.92

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.02

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.02

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.73

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.58

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 15?