Polymarket Trader

Determinism

0xe3be7a2562b931e8c69665c4b24df4faed1b582b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.03
Realized PnL: -$146.2
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.13
Potential profit: $138.13
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.62
Potential profit: $70.62
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.47
Potential profit: $52.47
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.5
Potential profit: $40.5
User PnL: -$5.21

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $28.03
Potential payout: $34.19
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $9.57

Miami position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.15
Potential profit: $33.15
User PnL: -$10.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.45
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: -$2.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Indiana position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.83

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.41

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.49

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 30% 16.6 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 9.14 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 32.8% 9.15 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 4.5% 111.11 shares
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?

Yes 54% 34.19 shares
Miami vs. Indiana

Miami 33% 33.15 shares
Miami vs. Indiana

Indiana 67% 16.21 shares
Miami vs. Indiana

Indiana 74% 16.22 shares
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Yes 65% 18.59 shares
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Yes 31.5% 18.59 shares
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Yes 14.2% 41.17 shares