No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.52
- Potential profit
- $488.52
- User PnL
- -$352.72
Polymarket Trader
thisisalpha
0xe3be7a553ba79e38bde3728cc7242b1ce7ec94e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.54
- Realized PnL
- $2.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $361.45
- Potential profit
- $361.45
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will "Scott" or "Bessent" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268.65
- Potential profit
- $268.65
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will "Maduro" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.32
- Potential profit
- $216.32
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will "Democracy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.96
- Potential profit
- $211.96
- User PnL
- -$125
No position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.94
- Potential profit
- $163.94
- User PnL
- -$19.39
No position
Will "California" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.2
- Potential profit
- $150.2
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will YouTube be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.96
- Potential profit
- $149.96
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.39
- Potential profit
- $128.39
- User PnL
- -$78
No position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83.8
- Multiplier
- 6.17x
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will "Groq" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$86.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $20.34
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.66
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- $15.04
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will "Tequila" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.92
- Potential profit
- $95.92
- User PnL
- -$86.32
No position
Will "Google" or "Deepmind" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.97
- Potential profit
- $86.97
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will "Epstein" or "Island" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.3
- Potential profit
- $63.3
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.17
- Potential profit
- $61.17
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will "Crypto" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.49
- Potential profit
- $50.49
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.11
No position
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.25
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.2
No position
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.87
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $153.1
No position
Will "Space" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.76
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.78
No position
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.51
No position
Will "Greenland" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.07
No position
Will "Motherfucker" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.44
No position
Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.91
Yes position
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.08
No position
Will "Woke" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.3
No position
Will "Epstein" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.76
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.29
No position
Will "Deepfake" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.64
No position
Will "Epstein" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.86
No position
Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.08
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.48
No position
Will "Jamie" be said 5+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.19
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.02
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 22% 0.49 shares
- Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Gauntlet" on Hot Ones?No 92.7% 15.11 shares
- Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Beast" on Hot Ones?No 95.2% 52.51 shares
- Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Again" on Hot Ones?Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Emma" or "Watson" on Hot Ones?Yes 83.7% 71.88 shares
- Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Emma" or "Watson" on Hot Ones?Yes 80% 287.5 shares
- Will "Terrorist" or "Terrorism" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No 93.9% 106.48 shares
- Will "Fentanyl" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No 90.8% 110.16 shares
- Will "Shooting" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No 89% 112.36 shares
- Will "Congress" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No 93.2% 107.34 shares
- Will "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No 87.8% 113.92 shares
- Will "Super Bowl" or "Big Game" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)No 94.3% 159.04 shares