Polymarket Trader

JackMa01

0xe3c3c6d4e9104f5734aead1717718667a23cac62

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.01K
Realized PnL: $20.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $6.26
User PnL: $41.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $389.24
Potential payout: $390.02
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $182.34
Potential payout: $182.98
Potential profit: $0.64
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $160.39
Potential payout: $160.55
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $1.44

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $49.2
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $20.13
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.71

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $22.61
Potential profit: $21.55
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.27
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.55
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.73
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $13.08
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $12.14
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $9.36
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $6.36
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: -$2.66

No position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

Procyon Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Crashers - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

T1 Academy position

LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $915.77

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.74

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.04

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.99

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.87

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

GAM Esports position

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.09

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.6

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Wizards

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.14

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.32

GAM Esports position

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.93

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.58

No position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.97

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or higher on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

No 99% 3,156.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

No 99% 300.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

No 99% 200.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

No 98.7% 109.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

No 99% 300.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

No 94% 102.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Yes 99% 160.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 20?

No 99% 182.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?

No 99% 528.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?

No 98.8% 500.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 19?

No 98.8% 212 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 19?

No 99.7% 200.03 shares