Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $13.79
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Polymarket Trader
ElusPendas
0xe3c52d84e663a2af8ec93e768ee4bb84836cf414
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.88
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.9%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $10.78
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 1.86x
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.2%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.16
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 9?No 94% 4.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 9?No 96.2% 4.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?No 79% 5.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?No 63.2% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?No 72% 5.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 9?No 98.9% 4.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?Yes 37.1% 10.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?Yes 29% 13.79 shares