Polymarket Trader

0xe3c6...4770

0xe3c6bfde2d276d961f195f96c3709cd2ca574770

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $51.13
Realized PnL: $3.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.97
Potential profit: $8.97
User PnL: -$5.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.47
Potential profit: $7.47
User PnL: -$5.68

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $5.18
User PnL: -$5.13

No position

Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.85
Potential profit: $4.85
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $4.71
Potential profit: $4.12
Multiplier: 7.94x
User PnL: -$4.11

No position

Will the National Movement of Amhara (NaMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $4.71
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$2.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Dollar Tree Q1 comparable store net sales growth be above 5%?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Smash Into Pieces win Melodifestivalen 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?

Yes 99% 4.76 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?

No 99.9% 4.7 shares
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?

No 96.7% 4.86 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

No 98.6% 4.7 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

No 98.8% 4.79 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

No 98.9% 4.8 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99.8% 4.76 shares
Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?

No 99.4% 4.76 shares
Will "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?

No 99% 4.77 shares
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Yes 99.9% 4.73 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 99.6% 4.75 shares
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?

No 99.9% 4.74 shares