Polymarket Trader

Dcgunduz

0xe3d05d82e05da2b888752dbd2e028e63c09b4e7d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.06K
Realized PnL: $4.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $297.78
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $423.65
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$114.77

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.84
Potential profit: $348.84
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $175.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $124.65
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $22.35

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $91
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $109
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$52.3

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $31.96
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $51.37
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$18.04

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $11.33
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $22
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.1

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $259.74

Yes position

Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.46

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.24

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.59

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.04

Yes position

Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Yes position

Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

Yes position

Georgescu banned from Romania election?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.04

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.71

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $157.9

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.18

No position

Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.62

Yes position

Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.52

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.83

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.55

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.82

Yes position

Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.33

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $106.48

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.6

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.9% 1,117.32 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.1% 1,660.1 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 600 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 600 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

No 61% 45 shares
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 500 shares
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

No 30% 33.33 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.8% 140.84 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 71% 140.85 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.5% 322.58 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 2,500 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 348.84 shares