No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.08K
- Potential profit
- $12.08K
- User PnL
- -$50.98
Polymarket Trader
AlanYagami-T
0xe3d176f5eb48cd7c370236020cb6baee37a4d312
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.22K
- Realized PnL
- $8.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$387.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$424.3
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $111.39
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$691.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $310.13
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $152.88
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $157.54
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $42.51
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $181.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.28
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$17.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.7%
- Current value
- $339.36
- Potential payout
- $925.95
- Potential profit
- $586.59
- Multiplier
- 2.73x
- User PnL
- $226.22
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$179.66
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $482.13
- Potential profit
- $482.13
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $320.61
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$16.86
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.66
- Potential profit
- $298.66
- User PnL
- -$29.56
Cameron Norrie position
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.23
- Potential profit
- $194.23
- User PnL
- -$7.38
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 27 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.62
- Potential profit
- $193.62
- User PnL
- -$39.31
No position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.05
- Potential profit
- $171.05
- User PnL
- -$66.18
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.11
- Potential profit
- $130.11
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.23
- Potential profit
- $114.23
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.08
- Potential profit
- $97.08
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.29
- Potential profit
- $60.29
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.42
- Potential profit
- $59.42
- User PnL
- -$11.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.75
- Potential profit
- $46.75
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.71
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.86
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $558.99
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.64
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.64
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.34
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.38
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.94
Minaur position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.82
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.72
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.81
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.76
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.83
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.27
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.37
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.43
Djokovic position
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 7% 145 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 52.55 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 8% 490 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 305.26 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 37% 636 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 287 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 883 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes 99.9% 620.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 32% 150 shares