No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.59
Polymarket Trader
0xe3d3...b2a2
0xe3d33c609ffd32ffdb5824b67ae9fdd6de63b2a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $31.99
- Realized PnL
- $9.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 99.6% 12.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No 98.2% 5.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 29?No 99.5% 10.05 shares
- Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.1% 470.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?No 99.1% 8.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 8?No 98.9% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 8?No 99.1% 11.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 8?No 98.6% 7.99 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 8?No 99.2% 12.1 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?No 97% 7.21 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?No 97% 7.21 shares
- Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.2% 470.59 shares