No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.98K
- Potential profit
- $53.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Polymarket Trader
charliedub
0xe3daa738026749deb966cde12c931e7c907d4b5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.15K
- Realized PnL
- $3.11K
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $219.37
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $30.62
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win 13 or more regular season games?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win 12 or more regular season games?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $961.54
- Potential profit
- $961.54
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $533.17
- Potential payout
- $903.67
- Potential profit
- $370.51
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$266.83
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $719.81
- Potential profit
- $719.81
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $598.8
- Potential profit
- $598.8
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.36
- Potential profit
- $461.36
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $108.89
- Potential payout
- $444.44
- Potential profit
- $335.56
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$91.11
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $419.99
- Potential profit
- $346.49
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$52.5
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $372.99
- Potential payout
- $419.56
- Potential profit
- $46.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $172.99
Yes position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $35.51
- Potential payout
- $284.08
- Potential profit
- $248.57
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.49
Yes position
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $196.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.27
- Potential profit
- $189.27
- User PnL
- -$100
49ers position
49ers vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.96
- Potential profit
- $186.96
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.39
- Potential profit
- $117.39
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.67
- Potential profit
- $70.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $10.18
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.94
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.44
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.74
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.42
No position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.07
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.64
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.31
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.65
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.47
Yes position
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.96
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.32
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.82
Yes position
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 62.11 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 62.11 shares
- Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 71% 845.07 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 80% 1,249.99 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 98.6% 646.73 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?No 13.9% 719.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 98% 448.62 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 47.7% 419.56 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 77.3% 646.74 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 45% 444.44 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 88.5% 903.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 66.9% 448.62 shares