Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $504.43
- Potential profit
- $501.66
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Polymarket Trader
Iltangbaek
0xe3de83f80ba5e14545a16a572974a810eac978dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.53
- Realized PnL
- $496.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $435.61
- Potential profit
- $434.95
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.2
- Potential profit
- $333.2
- User PnL
- -$16.66
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.49
- Potential profit
- $207.49
- User PnL
- -$4.88
No position
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $106.1
- Potential payout
- $112.87
- Potential profit
- $6.77
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.19
- Potential profit
- $78.19
- User PnL
- -$12.57
No position
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.19
- Potential profit
- $78.19
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.08
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $57.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.6
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $36.47
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $25.42
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 16% 250 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 14% 234.54 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 92.3 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 4.1% 1,181.46 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 947.09 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 26% 148.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 1% 100 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 92.31 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 3.6% 107.49 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.8% 346.49 shares