No position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$320
Polymarket Trader
supersmard
0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.71K
- Realized PnL
- $6.49K
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $440.42
- Potential payout
- $21.48K
- Potential profit
- $21.04K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $9.43K
- Potential payout
- $16.12K
- Potential profit
- $6.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.63K
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $3.29K
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $10.71K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $211.11
- Potential payout
- $12.79K
- Potential profit
- $12.58K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$29.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.79K
Yes position
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.66K
- Potential profit
- $8.66K
- User PnL
- -$1.83K
No position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.89K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $3.32K
- Potential payout
- $6.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$620
Yes position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.2%
- Current value
- $302.6
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $854.57
- Multiplier
- 3.82x
- User PnL
- $47.15
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.58
- Potential profit
- $421.58
- User PnL
- -$63.24
Yes position
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.76
- Potential profit
- $223.76
- User PnL
- -$19.15
Yes position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $64.87
- Potential payout
- $121.25
- Potential profit
- $56.38
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $12.73
No position
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $108.7
- User PnL
- -$33.7
No position
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $34.46
- Potential payout
- $68.93
- Potential profit
- $34.46
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $31.71
No position
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $28.14
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $38.86
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $25.46
No position
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.55
- Potential profit
- $51.55
- User PnL
- -$11.34
Yes position
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770
Yes position
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.92
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.16
No position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.69
Yes position
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.1
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119.7
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$729.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 76% 55.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 54% 700.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 59% 2,989.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 77% 100 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes 1.9% 2,238.08 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 30.3% 2,124.36 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 66% 20 shares
- Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 65% 783.17 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 66% 4,255.68 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80% 5,031.22 shares
- Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes 0.3% 35.24 shares
- Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 21.7% 70.73 shares