Polymarket Trader

Elico

0xe3f7ed9156a9b3a7755474f52e07aac8cebc15fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $421.28
Realized PnL: $465.77
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $3.07K
User PnL: -$50.76

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$341

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $408.25
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $308.25

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $941.11
Potential profit: $934.05
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.41

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $847.46
Potential profit: $847.46
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $668.67
Potential profit: $668.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $580.25
Potential profit: $576.77
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.18
Potential profit: $518.18
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$8

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457.89
Potential profit: $457.89
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.67
Potential profit: $446.67
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385.44
Potential profit: $385.44
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $356.08
Potential profit: $353.59
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$5.51

Yes position

Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.43
Potential profit: $288.43
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.33
Potential profit: $278.33
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.42
Potential profit: $242.42
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.62
Potential profit: $226.62
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rublev position

Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.15

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.59

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.18

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.68

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.99

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.28

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Competition" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.4

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.58

Zverev position

Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$59.96

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$97.74

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 14.7% 74.96 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 13.4% 446.67 shares
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Yes 2% 200.34 shares
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Yes 1.3% 155.19 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 6% 133.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 242.42 shares
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Yes 1.4% 580.25 shares
Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Yes 2.1% 385.44 shares
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Yes 2.8% 288.43 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 941.11 shares
No change in Swiss National Bank policy rate after March Meeting?

No 4% 197.88 shares