Polymarket Trader

0xE40C0443221223378ECA0bE7835b8Af258A2b675-1768752314169

0xe40c0443221223378eca0be7835b8af258a2b675

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $445.26
Realized PnL: $23.16
Win rate: 70.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.68K
Potential profit: $8.68K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $6.63K
User PnL: -$14.99

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $102.88
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $112.86
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$37.13

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $31.48
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $195.8
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $18.16
Potential payout: $186.22
Potential profit: $168.06
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $28.41
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $123.11
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $113.33
Potential profit: $105.4
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $101.81
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.2
Potential profit: $103.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $31.97
Potential payout: $62.07
Potential profit: $30.11
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $40.85
Potential payout: $56.34
Potential profit: $15.49
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $14.47
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $38.16
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $51.95
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $42.92
Potential profit: $36.57
Multiplier: 6.76x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $20.23
Potential payout: $34.58
Potential profit: $14.35
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $5.46
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $11.67
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6
Potential profit: $6.6
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $6.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $1.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 113.33 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 5.4% 186.22 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 23.3% 42.92 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 13.89 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 46% 25.64 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Yes 81.1% 15.67 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 3,111.11 shares