Polymarket Trader

0xe410...0ed5

0xe4109a22851f6025ee7f2f0b168222d7f0cb0ed5

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $155.47
Realized PnL: $192.29
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $748
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $18.41
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $35.65
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $23.57
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $24.05
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $36.23
Potential profit: $32.1
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $23.36
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.28

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.01

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Yes position

Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 36.23 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 98% 76.92 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 39% 76.92 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 65.28 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 38% 50 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 59% 15.25 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 66% 15.15 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 49% 41.66 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 28.57 shares