Polymarket Trader

0xe418...5c1a

0xe418a536730c8cc3ecf0546c1afca6f64eb75c1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $57.28
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $666
Potential profit: $665.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $332.99
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.3
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $41.7
Potential payout: $81.76
Potential profit: $40.06
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $40.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $81.31
Potential profit: $81.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $65.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $65.98
Potential profit: $65.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $63.99
Potential profit: $63.61
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45.85
Potential profit: $45.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.76
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.6
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.6
Potential profit: $38.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.37
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $32.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $29.31
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $31.42
Potential profit: $31.39
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $26.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.9
Potential profit: $21.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.91
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $19.06
Potential profit: $17.06
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $19.06
Potential profit: $17.92
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.96

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.07

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?

Yes 2% 76.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Yes 10% 10.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Yes 14.5% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 5?

Yes 3.3% 6.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 5?

Yes 17% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 5?

Yes 9% 5.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?

Yes 1% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?

Yes 2.9% 66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 5?

Yes 7% 31.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 5?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?

Yes 15% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 5?

Yes 15% 5 shares