Polymarket Trader

MENONAME

0xe4255818144a94e69dc0517e6d2def26d39fc463

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.77
Realized PnL: $117.67
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $17.34
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $63.31
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$7.66

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $65.79
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $10.98
Potential payout: $49.92
Potential profit: $38.94
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$14.02

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $44.25
Potential profit: $37.37
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $12.12
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.12
Potential profit: $20.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $16.48
Potential profit: $12.03
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.82
Potential profit: $13.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.45
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.09
Potential profit: $7.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.5

Yes position

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30.3% 16.48 shares
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 11.3% 44.25 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 31% 80.65 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 50.1% 49.92 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 24 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 91% 76.08 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 92% 76.09 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 61.1% 40 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 10% 84.41 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 11.8% 84.41 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 79% 25.32 shares