Polymarket Trader

GuyLandau

0xe4332e1c2548b73e544238d58c077e4b534a31c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.66
Realized PnL: $83.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $17.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $73.87
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.48
Potential profit: $65.48
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $7.94
Potential payout: $43.24
Potential profit: $35.31
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $34.25
Potential profit: $28.85
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.12
Potential profit: $30.12
User PnL: -$11

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $22.64
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.27
Potential profit: $26.27
User PnL: -$8.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.21
Potential profit: $24.21
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.66
Potential profit: $14.66
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $13.74
Potential profit: $8.36
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.26
Potential profit: $12.26
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.61
Potential profit: $9.61
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.3
Potential profit: $9.3
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the NYT front-page headlines say "S&P" this week?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42
Potential profit: $7.42
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66
Potential profit: $5.66
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "FIFA" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $15.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will Trump name "Massie" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 9.37 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 99.9% 8.1 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 9.38 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Yes 35% 5.71 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 18% 27.78 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 74% 8.11 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.6% 34.25 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 108.1 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 99.9% 14.28 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 14.29 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 33% 12.96 shares