Polymarket Trader

sdflef

0xe438a4b26fbaeeb7686f2b6792f9c9ba201b5bab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $227.94
Realized PnL: $15.75K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.97K
Potential profit: $296.97K
User PnL: -$645.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ET

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$979.99

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $227.94
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$22.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$522.62

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.21
Potential profit: $117.21
User PnL: -$23.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.29

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $592.72

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.73

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.32

90k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $201.84

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $191.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.13

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.74

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the AP call the election on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.92

Yes position

Will someone else be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 17% 1,470.59 shares
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?

No 8% 26 shares
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?

No 24% 91.21 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?

Yes 69% 21.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET

Up 43% 73.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11AM ET

Down 99.9% 1,999.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8AM ET

Down 32.7% 1,598.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8AM ET

Down 50% 577.17 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?

Yes 82% 5 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?

Yes 75% 1,547.33 shares
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

No 0.2% 175,000 shares
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

No 0.2% 25,000 shares