Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.06
- Potential profit
- $364.06
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0xe43fc053d3712A565b199b18b7CA12df1bb13aab-1767963200458
0xe43fc053d3712a565b199b18b7ca12df1bb13aab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.48
- Realized PnL
- $182.48
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $35.92
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $43.03
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $37.99
- Potential payout
- $37.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.99
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.57
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.62
- Potential profit
- $20.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.78
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.89
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 73.7% 37.99 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 38% 78.95 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?Down 70% 28.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes 97% 20.62 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 59% 84.75 shares
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 80.1% 124.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 4% 243.9 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?No 88.1% 47.68 shares
- Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Yes 73.5% 54.4 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes 27.5% 364.06 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 41% 243.9 shares