belyosh56

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $33.62
Potential payout: $36.22
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.97
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $24.98
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.68
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.86
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.95
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $14.98
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.94
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $14.88
Potential profit: $14.08
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $12.82
Potential payout: $13.18
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $9.54
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.86

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.8
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $145.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?