Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $116.37
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$333.63
Polymarket Trader
0xE44345cd202EEbb16627E1535808A54579dd54d7-1767795890415
0xe44345cd202eebb16627e1535808a54579dd54d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $471.38
- Realized PnL
- -$564.65
- Win rate
- 23.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $35.04
- Potential payout
- $921.98
- Potential profit
- $886.95
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$153.96
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $589.29
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $639.67
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$73
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $43.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $623.33
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$56.67
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $612.5
- Potential profit
- $612.5
- User PnL
- -$175
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $217.5
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $92.14
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $50.71
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $22.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $533.04
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $267.75
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $39.94
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.41
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.44
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$145.99
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 4% 263.94 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 48.3% 1,176.47 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes 22% 1,569.47 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 22% 4,663.78 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 40% 250 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 34% 294.12 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 34% 294.12 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 49% 142.86 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 50% 180 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 45.5% 263.94 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 16.8% 593.5 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?No 71.9% 139.17 shares