Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $13.8
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $106.2
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$16.2
Polymarket Trader
0xe444F7B05763ff32AA36ad56b5E02e001b0864f3-1773602964684
0xe444f7b05763ff32aa36ad56b5e02e001b0864f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.76
- Realized PnL
- $80.04
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $60.96
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $35.04
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $12.96
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 72% 64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 65.07 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 77% 12.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 63% 31.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 50% 160 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 83% 50.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 79% 80.54 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 99.2% 19.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.5% 33.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 45% 33.33 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 55.5% 12.61 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 55.4% 6.6 shares