Polymarket Trader

fi5h

0xe450d771caa532822ccd55d5b8ce09e188fe91b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $320.75
Realized PnL: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.41
Potential profit: $231.41
User PnL: -$87.79

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.64
Potential profit: $170.64
User PnL: -$37.39

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $142.66
Potential payout: $150.65
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $38.98

Yes position

Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $66.57
Potential payout: $140.14
Potential profit: $73.57
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $23.17

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.4%
Current value: $38.36
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $101.64
Multiplier: 3.65x
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $139.99
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.3
Potential profit: $136.3
User PnL: -$19.74

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $133
User PnL: -$9.57

Yes position

Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.61
Potential profit: $132.61
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $123.38
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.85
Potential profit: $128.85
User PnL: -$8.69

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.29
Potential profit: $125.29
User PnL: -$17.94

Yes position

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.05
Potential profit: $125.05
User PnL: -$6.61

Yes position

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $21.37
Potential payout: $115.85
Potential profit: $94.47
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.47
Potential profit: $115.47
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.33
Potential profit: $111.33
User PnL: -$46.11

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.91
Potential profit: $107.91
User PnL: -$13.71

Yes position

Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.46
Potential profit: $103.46
User PnL: -$6.39

Yes position

Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.1
Potential profit: $101.1
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.67
Potential payout: $100.82
Potential profit: $80.16
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$18.86

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $75.51
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $18.54

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.4

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.59

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.47

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.5

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.55

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.58

Yes position

Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.11

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.95

Yes position

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.34

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.15

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

India position

Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.73

Yes position

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.07

No position

Will West Indies reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.94

South Africa position

T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.24

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.13

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.82

India position

T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 88% 15 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 8.2% 5 shares
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 89% 30 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

No 81% 20.82 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 54% 1.85 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 69% 2.9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 45% 4.09 shares
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No 68% 26.83 shares
Will the match end in a draw?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland

West Indies 74% 2.7 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

No 24% 5 shares