Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xe4668E1e7C85c5D8d5d6295E94c021FEA69d9531-1763389637925
@max_curacao
0xe4668e1e7c85c5d8d5d6295e94c021fea69d9531
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.4
- Realized PnL
- $75.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.55
- Potential profit
- $165.55
- User PnL
- -$10.93
Yes position
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $80.21
- Potential profit
- $78.24
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $57.3
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.9
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $43.53
- Potential profit
- $33.08
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Yes position
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.04
- Potential profit
- $32.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.38
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$9.13
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.75
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- User PnL
- -$6.81
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.03
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.41
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $6.4
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No 41% 5 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No 38% 5 shares
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91% 5 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?No 34% 10 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?No 12% 10 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 83% 7 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.5% 10 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 10 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes 8% 20 shares