Polymarket Trader

0xE478c980bFb8731067514AD077BE293C45D37B45-1773080928429

0xe478c980bfb8731067514ad077be293c45d37b45

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $220.09
Realized PnL: $77.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $171.91
Potential profit: $163.31
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $107.3
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $10.78

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.4
Potential profit: $92.4
User PnL: -$48.27

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $57.62
Potential profit: $52.43
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$6.81

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $56.16
Potential payout: $57.28
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.04
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $30.86
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.38

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.76
Potential profit: $28.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $15.21
Potential payout: $20.55
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $12.47
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $8.47
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.43
Potential profit: $8.43
User PnL: -$7

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $8.1
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.41

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

No 71% 23.94 shares
Will Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address?

Yes 83% 8.43 shares
Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?

Yes 94% 5.32 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 69% 18.18 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 91.3% 3.29 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 92.6% 54 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

No 84% 11.9 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 2.9% 171.91 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 73% 20.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.8% 67.54 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

No 17% 17.65 shares