Polymarket Trader

0xB2c2B3787a560200C4be996F09B29A5A1614ca59-1777929071607

0xe479e651420ba93bbe94c488be86dd73fe4b4924

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $177.75
Realized PnL: $265.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $448.41
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.86

No position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345.4
Potential profit: $345.4
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.03
Potential profit: $270.03
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $242.88
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.45
Potential profit: $235.45
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $222.73
Potential profit: $211.48
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$28.75

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $146.48
Potential profit: $144.5
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $12.14
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $130.71
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $25.8
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $94.2
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $14.59
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $101.69
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $104.48
Potential profit: $98.05
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $16.68
Potential payout: $92.64
Potential profit: $75.97
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$23.32

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $6.51
Potential payout: $88.61
Potential profit: $82.09
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $74.79
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $14.96
Potential payout: $81.08
Potential profit: $66.12
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.93
Potential profit: $78.93
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $63.03
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $63.64
Potential profit: $58.55
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $49.84
Potential profit: $37.88
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$18.04

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $46.94
Potential profit: $41.07
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.48
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $28.53
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $23.15
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: -$0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.73

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.63

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.67

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.81

No position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Yes position

Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 35 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 63.64 shares
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 46.94 shares
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 250 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 104.48 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 88.61 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 84.75 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 116.28 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 72.99 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 81.08 shares
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.6% 23.15 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 146.48 shares