Polymarket Trader

yolobitsaloon

0xe4800fbba7e217d97d11867c01a839e80fc7ae5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $739.53
Realized PnL: $4.4K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $532.4
Potential payout: $17.46K
Potential profit: $16.92K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$22.59

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $207.13
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.87

No position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.22
Potential profit: $794.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $743.71
Potential profit: $743.71
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 20-26?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.18
Potential profit: $568.18
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.41
Potential profit: $405.41
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $307.69
User PnL: -$40

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Bulls

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.63
Potential profit: $258.63
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.95
Potential profit: $245.95
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Bill Ackman say "Election" during the X Space event on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.35
Potential profit: $151.35
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.12
Potential profit: $129.12
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.27
Potential profit: $82.27
User PnL: -$35

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Heat

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10.38

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$25

76ers position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Knicks position

Heat vs. Knicks

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.75

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.93

No position

Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 30+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Will prjx launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.29

No position

Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.71

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$192.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 3,580.65 shares
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 14.4% 761.83 shares
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 15% 666.67 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 13,875 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 65% 500 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Yes 37% 405.41 shares
Knicks vs. Heat

Knicks 52% 76.92 shares
Will Bill Ackman say "Election" during the X Space event on November 18?

Yes 66.1% 151.35 shares
Heat vs. Knicks

Knicks 69% 100 shares
Knicks vs. Bulls

Knicks 29% 344.83 shares
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?

No 96.9% 153.53 shares
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?

No 97.8% 205.18 shares