Polymarket Trader

gilgamesh83

0xe4831b204039d974d2fa0de4555c95805d66c63d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.31
Realized PnL: $457.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.38

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.43

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.19

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.7

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.2

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.59

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.01

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.01

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.17

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 61% 5 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?

No 85% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Up 52% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?

Down 54% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 29?

Up 59% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

Up 73% 5 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 75% 5 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by June 30?

No 98.9% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 68% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?

Up 70% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?

Up 57% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?

Up 60% 10 shares