No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.19K
- Potential profit
- $25.19K
- User PnL
- -$18.7K
Polymarket Trader
Paglietini
0xe48713cf81a1d26d564e70a0a9e2c5344439aca6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $153.77
- Realized PnL
- $21.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58K
- Potential profit
- $7.58K
- User PnL
- -$2.46K
No position
North Korea missile launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- User PnL
- -$4.2K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$301.66
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $604.59
- Potential profit
- $604.59
- User PnL
- -$179
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409
- Potential profit
- $409
- User PnL
- -$314.28
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.87
- Potential profit
- $258.87
- User PnL
- -$111.65
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.54
- Potential profit
- $200.54
- User PnL
- -$32.12
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.17
- Potential profit
- $200.17
- User PnL
- -$120.1
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.72
- Potential profit
- $196.72
- User PnL
- -$120
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.3
- Potential profit
- $149.3
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.42
- Potential profit
- $140.42
- User PnL
- -$80
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $108.7
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $54.99
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $44.99
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $6.6
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $42.63
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $44.37
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $56.15
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $6.15
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$15.9
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.42
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 30?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.57
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.93
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.35
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.61
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.59
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.63
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.24
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.57
No position
North Korea missile test by September 15?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.13
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.51
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.13
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.78
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.12
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.09
No position
North Korea missile launch by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.93
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.53
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.97
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 80% 25 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 56.18 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 58% 25 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 82% 50 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 50 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Up 47% 5 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Up 46% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Up 84% 212.21 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?Up 85.9% 232.96 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?Up 52% 76.92 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?Up 63% 63.49 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?Up 34.5% 20 shares