hermes-002

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$8.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.15
Potential profit: $19.15
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.15
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 20?